Insight

Verifying the Exchange Rate Pulse forecast lane

The forecast ribbon is intentionally simple: a rolling linear regression that stays honest about demo data. Here’s how I keep it explainable.

Field notes

The regression uses only the visible window of demo data and re-computes whenever the viewer changes the range. It keeps the math approachable and prevents claims about predictive accuracy.

I clamp the projection to business hours so the dashboard never shows overnight gaps that the sample feed can’t verify. If the regression cannot produce a stable slope, the ribbon hides and the copy explains why.

Most importantly, the surrounding paragraphs remind visitors that this is a UX demonstration. When you connect a real feed, you can swap in a more advanced model without changing the UI contract.

Key takeaways

Copy these into your own playbooks or PRDs—the bullet points summarize the decisions the article supports.

  • Keep demo math transparent—reviewers should understand it without digging into code.
  • Disable the feature when the underlying data does not support it.
  • Document how clients can replace the demo logic with their own models.
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  • Category: Product notes
  • Published: 05 Mar 2024
  • 6 min read
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